> Most definitely not. Thinking about the processes and long term effects takes a deeo understanding of things, time to properly think it through, experience to get it right and constabt adjustments.

Isn't what your describing second-order thinking though?

For example — "I'm hungry therefore I'll order a takeaway" is an easy decision, if you ignore any second order effects & consequences (e.g. impact on your health/finances).

It's layering in second (and third, fourth) order effects that requires the time to think through, experience, etc.